Accumulating Snow Possible April 8-9

created at 8:02 a.m. on Thu, Apr 7, 2016 - updated at 8:54 a.m. - This morning's forecast predicts less than a half-inch of snow accumulation on Friday, and less than a half-inch during the daytime Saturday. Most of our snow should fall Friday night.

Friday Night: Rain showers before 9pm, then snow showers likely. Low around 23. Blustery, with a northwest wind 17 to 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Since July 1, TOL's largest snow event remains the 3.5 inches that fell on Sat, Nov 21, 2015.

TOL 8:00 a.m.

Apr 7, 2016 7:52 am
Weather : Light Rain
Temperature : 40 F
Humidity : 86%
Wind Speed : W 12 mph
Barometer : 29.46 in
Dewpoint: 36 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 33 F

HWO

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
418 am edt thu apr 7 2016

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lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
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crawford pa-
418 am edt thu apr 7 2016

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

day one...today and tonight.

hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

days two through seven...friday through wednesday.

accumulating snow of 1 to 4 inches is possible friday night into
saturday morning.

Forecast

Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Apr 7, 2016 6:19 am

Today: A slight chance of rain showers before 9am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 11am, then a chance of rain showers after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a slight chance of snow showers between 11pm and midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Northwest wind 10 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Friday: A slight chance of snow showers between 10am and 1pm, then rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Friday Night: Rain showers before 10pm, then snow showers likely. Low around 23. Blustery, with a northwest wind 16 to 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Saturday: A chance of snow showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Breezy, with a northwest wind 16 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Sunday: A chance of snow showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday Night: Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow showers, becoming all rain after 7pm. Cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.

AFD

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
725 am edt thu apr 7 2016

synopsis...
low pressure just east of lake huron with a cold front trailing
southward across eastern ohio will move eastward through the
morning. another area of low pressure will dive into the central
great lakes on friday. high pressure will briefly take control of
the region saturday afternoon into early sunday. the next cold
front will track across the region sunday night into early monday.

&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
current pops and weather appear on track so have only made minor
changes. only other changes were to tweak hourly temperatures to
reflect current trends.

previous discussion...
cold front has crossed most of the area and was located near the
ohio/pa border. the main swath of showers is located near this
boundary and under the upper level low that was moving across
central portions of the county warning area. expect that there
will be a lull in the showers at some point this morning before
the next piece of jet energy moves overhead this evening. it will
be cloudy and cooler today with highs in the 40s.

&&

short term /6 pm this evening through sunday night/...
the upper level trough and its associated piece of jet energy will
cross the county warning area tonight with colder air spilling
into the area in its wake. expect to see the rain showers to
transition to snow showers near or slightly after sunset. cant
rule out some light snow accumulations across the area
overnight...mainly an inch or less. however some of the higher
terrain areas could see some locally higher amounts. the coldest
air will arrive friday night in the wake of another area of low
pressure that will cross the region by midnight on friday. the
airmass will start out cold enough for snow and then be enhanced
by some lake effect snow showers that will linger into saturday
evening. accumulations of 1 to locally 4 inches will be possible
with winter weather headlines anticipated. high pressure will
take control of the region by saturday afternoon and persist into
sunday afternoon. however the next area of low pressure will be
moving into the upper great lakes by sunday afternoon with a cold
front approaching nw ohio. there should be an increase in
rain/snow sunday night. there will be a transition to all rain
across the west with a mix or all snow across ne oh into nw pa.

temperatures through the short term will remain below seasonal
averages. saturday looks to be the coldest day with most
locations struggling to get above freezing.

&&

long term /monday through wednesday/...
the long term begins monday with low pressure moving
through the great lakes. warm advection will be ongoing with deep
moisture across the area ahead of an approaching cold front. the
front will move through the area during the day monday with
colder...drier air moving in overnight as models are in agreement
that the wrap around moisture remains north. tuesday into wednesday
cold high pressure will build across the region. high pressure will
continue into thursday. temps start out near normal in the 50s
monday but drop into the 40s and lower 50s tuesday through thursday.

&&

aviation /12z thursday through monday/...
surface low over sern ontario will continue northeast today. a
cold front south from the low across the region will move east
this morning. widespread light rain and mvfr cigs will continue
through the day. could see patchy ifr as well. another cold front
will drop southeast across the area late this afternoon and
evening.

outlook...non-vfr friday late afternoon through saturday night.
non-vfr possible again on monday.

&&

marine...
will allow the small craft advisory to end west but will continue as
it central and east. low pressure over sern ontario will continue
to move northeast but will drag a cold front across the lake this
evening...in addition to the one moving across the lake at this
time. winds today should continue from the west-southwest turning
more northwest this evening and overnight. expect 15 to 20 knots
today increasing to 20 to 25 knots tonight. friday winds will
weaken as the strong low moves further away. saturday and sunday
high pressure will build across the lake. monday another low will
move across the great lakes forcing a warm front northeast across
the lake sunday night followed by a cold front on monday.

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 4 am edt friday for lez145>149.

#weather